The use of airplanes and cars will decrease significantly (by about one third each). But this alone is not enough. Cars that are still in use must become more efficient and electric, and their use must evolve: lower highway speeds, eco-driving training, rental, carpooling. On the aviation side, transformation relies on optimizing usage (denser cabin layouts) and turning to low-carbon fuels.
Meanwhile, the rail offer is becoming more attractive. At a large scale, with trains serving Europe and providing cross-country links and service to medium-sized cities. At a smaller scale, with more low-cost options, direct routes, and local lines. Rail services will improve with better intermodality at stations and new infrastructure. Ticket prices are kept in check thanks to reduced VAT and social fares.